Research and publications

Improving Time-Series Momentum Strategies: The Role of Trading Signals and Volatility Estimators

Constructing a time-series momentum strategy involves the volatility-adjusted aggregation of univariate strategies and therefore relies heavily on the efficiency of the volatility estimator and on the quality of the momentum trading signal. Using a dataset with intra-day quotes of 12 futures contracts from November 1999 to October 2009, we investigate these dependencies and their relation to time-series momentum profitability and reach a number of novel findings.

Author(s):

Akindynos-Nikolaos Balta, Robert Kosowski

Summary:

Constructing a time-series momentum strategy involves the volatility-adjusted aggregation of univariate strategies and therefore relies heavily on the efficiency of the volatility estimator and on the quality of the momentum trading signal. Using a dataset with intra-day quotes of 12 futures contracts from November 1999 to October 2009, we investigate these dependencies and their relation to time-series momentum profitability and reach a number of novel findings.

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Type : Working paper
Date : 08/06/2012
Keywords :

Commodities