Research and publications

Timing Commodity Momentum

This paper examines simple timing strategies for commodity momentum, based on whether the market is in backwardation or contango. It finds that these timed strategies outperform winner, loser and momentum strategies. The analysis thus provides evidence that commodity momentum is a dynamic phenomenon, and has implications for commodity managers as it provides simple active strategies that outperform passive momentum benchmarks.

Author(s):

Devraj Basu, Joëlle Miffre

Summary:

This paper examines simple timing strategies for commodity momentum, based on whether the market is in backwardation or contango. It finds that these timed strategies outperform winner, loser and momentum strategies. The analysis thus provides evidence that commodity momentum is a dynamic phenomenon, and has implications for commodity managers as it provides simple active strategies that outperform passive momentum benchmarks.

Register to download PDF

Register/Log in
Type : Working paper
Date : 10/06/2008
Keywords :

Commodities